Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.000167 0.000185 0.000204 0.000226 0.000251 0.000279 0.000311
2025-05-11 0.000134 0.000160 0.000190 0.000228 0.000274 0.000330 0.000403
2025-05-18 0.000112 0.000141 0.000178 0.000226 0.000290 0.000372 0.000486
2025-05-25 0.000098 0.000128 0.000168 0.000224 0.000303 0.000409 0.000568
2025-06-01 0.000086 0.000117 0.000159 0.000221 0.000312 0.000441 0.000645
2025-06-08 0.000076 0.000106 0.000149 0.000214 0.000312 0.000460 0.000704
2025-06-15 0.000070 0.000101 0.000146 0.000216 0.000328 0.000502 0.000804
2025-06-22 0.000066 0.000097 0.000144 0.000221 0.000346 0.000550 0.000921
2025-06-29 0.000060 0.000091 0.000137 0.000216 0.000349 0.000573 0.000997
2025-07-06 0.000054 0.000083 0.000128 0.000206 0.000343 0.000579 0.001043
2025-07-13 0.000051 0.000080 0.000126 0.000207 0.000354 0.000617 0.001153
2025-07-20 0.000048 0.000077 0.000125 0.000211 0.000370 0.000665 0.001291
2025-07-27 0.000045 0.000074 0.000121 0.000209 0.000378 0.000701 0.001415
2025-08-03 0.000043 0.000071 0.000119 0.000211 0.000392 0.000753 0.001582
2025-08-10 0.000040 0.000067 0.000116 0.000210 0.000400 0.000792 0.001730
2025-08-17 0.000037 0.000064 0.000112 0.000208 0.000408 0.000831 0.001886
2025-08-24 0.000035 0.000061 0.000108 0.000205 0.000412 0.000865 0.002033
2025-08-31 0.000032 0.000057 0.000103 0.000198 0.000407 0.000875 0.002125
2025-09-07 0.000031 0.000055 0.000102 0.000201 0.000422 0.000935 0.002361
2025-09-14 0.000030 0.000054 0.000102 0.000205 0.000442 0.001009 0.002648
2025-09-21 0.000028 0.000052 0.000098 0.000201 0.000442 0.001033 0.002801
2025-09-28 0.000026 0.000048 0.000092 0.000192 0.000430 0.001027 0.002863
2025-10-05 0.000025 0.000047 0.000091 0.000193 0.000441 0.001082 0.003125